We’ve gone through and taken a look at how A&M has moved the ball through the air and on the ground. But what about OVERALL? What about scoring? Below we take a look at how the Aggies have faced moving the ball and putting points on the scoreboard against every FBS team A&M played in 2015. We also take a look at how far the deviation was in each game & the % gained of their opponent’s average. From there we should have a feel for how many total yards A&M should expect to gain and also how many total points the Aggies should expect to score.
Texas A&M Total Offense
Texas A&M performed consistently in the 1st half of the season and threw in some clunkers towards the finish. Overall though the Aggies gained about 14 yards more than defenses typically allowed on the season or 104%.
Louisville is the 2nd best defense (Bama is 1st) A&M will face in 2015 and the Aggies gained 58 yards over Bama’s average in a losing effort. Using the metrics available we can expect A&M to gain 337 yards in Nashville.
|Total Defense||Texas A&M Gained vs.||Deviation from Avg.||% Gained of Avg|
|Arkansas -W (OT)||404.1||423||18.90||104.68%|
|Miss St -W||388.4||516||127.60||132.85%|
|Alabama – L||258.2||316||57.80||122.39%|
|Ole Miss – L||387.5||192||-195.50||49.55%|
|South Carolina -W||429.8||544||114.20||126.57%|
Louisville Total Defense
The Cardinal Defense limited 9 of 11 offenses to UNDER its season average (FSU & Pitt) but on the season the Cards reduced offenses to 53 yards less than the season average or just 85%.
Texas A&M is the 4th best offense the Cards will face in 2015 at 423.0 yards per game. Given the metrics we can expect A&M to gain 358-369 yards on the Cards.
It’s a significant departure from what we learned above so who wins this battle may determine the game.
|Total Offense||Louisville Allowed vs.||Deviation from Avg.||% Gained of Avg|
Texas A&M Scoring Offense
The Aggies are always known for scoring points with Kevin Sumlin. A&M exceeded the points allowed by its opponents in 8 of 11 FBS games and scored 3.27 points more than opponents average or 112.25%.
Louisville is the 6th best Scoring Defense that A&M will face (a departure from the Total Defense) this season. The metrics suggest that A&M should score about 27 points in the Music City Bowl.
|Scoring Defense||Texas A&M Scored vs.||Deviation from Avg.||% Scored of Avg|
|Arkansas -W (OT)||27.8||28||0.2||100.72%|
|Miss St -W||22.8||30||7.2||131.58%|
|Alabama – L||14.4||23||8.6||159.72%|
|Ole Miss – L||22.8||3||-19.8||13.16%|
|South Carolina -W||27.5||35||7.5||127.27%|
Louisville Scoring Defense
The Cards did a nice job of limiting yards, but not a great job of limiting points in 2015. 5 of 11 teams exceeded their points per game average vs. the Cards this season. But overall UofL ended up reducing teams to 2 fewer points per game than teams typically scored or just 95%.
Texas A&M is the 6th best scoring team UofL will face this season and we should expect the Aggies to put up 26-27 points in the bowl.
|Scoring Offense||Louisville Allowed vs.||Deviation from Avg.||% Scored of Avg|
|Pitt – L||28.3||45||16.7||159.01%|