Location: McCamish Pavilion
Game Time: 4:00, 1-23-2016
Line: Louisville -5
Series History: Louisville leads 16-13 (3-4 in Atlanta)
Last Time: Louisville 52, Florida State 51 (Atlanta, GA 2-23-2015)
TV: ESPN2 – Mike Couzens, Chris Spatola
Louisville Radio: 840 WHAS with Paul Rogers and Bob Valvano, Sirius 84, XM 84
Game Officials: Roger Ayers, Sean Hull, Tim Comer

PREDICTION

Georgia Tech has lost 4 of its last 5 games by 8 points or fewer….3 of which were on the road.  The one win for the Yellow Jackets was in McCamish Pavilion against #4 Virginia.  So good luck figuring this GT team out.

This game sets up very similar to when Louisville traveled down to Clemson and took a loss.  If the Cards are not ready, they will lose.  But this is certainly a game that Louisville SHOULD win.

It will be a big time test of Chinanu Onuaku vs. the big-bodied Charles Mitchell (6’8, 269) who is averaging a double double.  Nanu has had a string of double doubles since starting ACC play and as we’ve seen all season, as Onuaku goes so does the Cards. Quentin Snider also has a big test ahead vs. GT’s Adam Smith.

GT is deadly from 3-point range.  We’ve seen the Cards in losses get burned from beyond the arc and the Yellow Jackets are more than capable of getting hot from deep. Georgia Tech is also one of the few teams in the country that can rebound with Louisville and neither team shoots foul shots very well.

Louisville’s defense is significantly superior to Georgia Tech’s and that’s why I’m picking the Cards.

Louisville 75, Georgia Tech 68

TEAM STATS

Louisville Georgia Tech
Strength of Schedule (KenPom) 204th 27th
Points Per Game 80.7 (31st) 76.7 (84th)
Avg Scoring Margin +22.6 (1st) +5.5 (92nd)
Field Goal % 49.2% (10th) 45.1% (95th)
2-point FG% 54.6% (22nd) 48.2% (176th)
3-point FG% 35.2% (143rd) 37.2% (71st)
Free Throw % 68.6% (207th) 69.4% (185th)
Rebound Rate 58.5% (2nd) 55.7% (19th)
Blocks Per Game 5.3 (26th) 4.6 (56th)
Steals Per Game 7.8 (33rd) 4.7 (309th)
Assists Per Game 13.4 (160th) 14.7 (87th)
Turnovers Per Game 11.8 (72nd) 10.1 (12th)
Opponent Turnovers Per Game 14.9 (37th) 10.2 (336th)
Team Fouls Per Game 19.5 (163rd) 18.8 (118th)
Opponent Shooting % 36.1% (1st) 43.5% (166th)
Opponent 2-point FG% 39.2% (2nd) 49.3% (196th)
Opponent 3-point FG% 30.6% (25th) 30.7% (28th)
Opponent Block Per Game 3.2 (126th) 2.8 (51st)
Opponent Steals Per Game 5.6 (89th) 4.0 (2nd)

PROJECTED STARTERS

  Quentin Snider Adam Smith
  6-1, 180, Soph 6-1, 170, Sr.
Minutes 27.8 28.0
Points 10.4 14.2
Field Goal % 44.2% 40.40%
3-point % 44.6% 44.50%
FT % 70.6% 73.10%
Rebounds 2.2 2.3
Assists 3.7 1.7
Steals 0.9 0.3
Blocks 0.0 0.0
Turnovers 1.3 0.7
Fouls 2.0 1.8
     
  Trey Lewis Marcus Georges-Hunt
  6-2, 190, Sr. 6-5, 214, Sr.
Minutes 27.6 29.7
Points 12.2 15.4
Field Goal % 43.70% 45.20%
3-point % 37.80% 33.30%
FT % 84.10% 80.00%
Rebounds 3.7 3.3
Assists 2.7 2.3
Steals 0.9 0.8
Blocks 0.2 0.3
Turnovers 1.8 2.2
Fouls 1.9 2.4
     
  Damion Lee Quinton Stephens
  6-6, 200, Sr. 6-9, 187, Jr.
Minutes 31.4 15.1
Points 16.6 5.4
Field Goal % 45.5% 41.3%
3-point % 33.7% 41.5%
FT % 87.1% 65.2%
Rebounds 3.9 2.9
Assists 1.7 1.1
Steals 1.7 0.2
Blocks 0.1 0.4
Turnovers 1.3 0.6
Fouls 1.9 1.3
     
  Jaylen Johnson James White
  6-9, 215, Soph 6-8, 220, Sr.
Minutes 16.5 14.8
Points 5.7 4.0
Field Goal % 51.1% 47.10%
3-point % 14.3% 0.00%
FT % 47.4% 37.50%
Rebounds 3.8 5.2
Assists 0.4 0.3
Steals 0.3 0.2
Blocks 0.3 0.8
Turnovers 0.6 0.6
Fouls 1.9 2.5
     
  Chinanu Onuaku Charles Mitchell
  6-10, 230, Soph 6-8, 269, Sr.
Minutes 23.3 26.6
Points 10.6 12.2
Field Goal % 63.0% 53.3%
3-point % 0.0% 0.0%
FT % 55.6% 61.5%
Rebounds 9.1 11.0
Assists 0.9 0.7
Steals 0.8 1.0
Blocks 2.1 0.6
Turnovers 2.0 1.7
Fouls 2.6 2.8

BENCH

  Donovan Mitchell Travis Jorgenson
  6-3, 210, Fr. 6-0, 177, Soph
Minutes 20.5 15.3
Points 7.8 2.8
Field Goal % 44.30% 38.30%
3-point % 22.50% 27.30%
FT % 76.90% 0.00%
Rebounds 4.1 1.1
Assists 1.9 2.8
Steals 0.9 0.5
Blocks 0.1 0.0
Turnovers 0.8 0.6
Fouls 2.7 0.9
     
  David Levitch Josh Heath
  6-3, 180, Jr. 6-2, 172, Jr.
Minutes 6.8 21.0
Points 2.0 3.4
Field Goal % 57.10% 41.80%
3-point % 50.00% 23.10%
FT % 72.70% 81.30%
Rebounds 0.7 1.3
Assists 0.4 4.0
Steals 0.3 0.6
Blocks 0.0 0.1
Turnovers 0.3 1.2
Fouls 0.6 2.2
     
  Deng Adel Tadric Jackson
  6-7, 200, Fr. 6-2, 215, Soph
Minutes 8.6 13.8
Points 2.5 4.9
Field Goal % 31.80% 33.70%
3-point % 0.00% 26.30%
FT % 78.60% 60.00%
Rebounds 1.6 1.2
Assists 0.5 1.2
Steals 0.1 0.3
Blocks 0.1 0.1
Turnovers 1.2 0.6
Fouls 0.9 1.2
     
  Ray Spalding Nick Jacobs
  6-10, 210, Fr. 6-8, 260, Sr.
Minutes 17.1 21.2
Points 5.7 10.4
Field Goal % 62.00% 47.90%
3-point % 0.00% 0.00%
FT % 42.40% 78.40%
Rebounds 4.6 5.7
Assists 0.6 0.3
Steals 1.0 0.4
Blocks 0.8 1.0
Turnovers 1.1 1.3
Fouls 2.0 2.1
     
  Matz Stockman Ben Lammers
  7-0, 240, Soph 6-10, 241, Soph
Minutes 6.2 14.7
Points 3.1 3.9
Field Goal % 62.50% 65.20%
3-point % 0.00% 0.00%
FT % 53.80% 61.10%
Rebounds 2.2 4.1
Assists 0.2 0.6
Steals 0.0 0.3
Blocks 0.2 1.3
Turnovers 0.5 0.4
Fouls 1.1 1.5
     
  Anas Mahmoud  
  7-0, 200, Soph  
Minutes 11.2  
Points 2.9  
Field Goal % 51.50%  
3-point % 0.00%  
FT % 40.90%  
Rebounds 3.1  
Assists 0.4  
Steals 0.6  
Blocks 1.1  
Turnovers 1.0  
Fouls 1.6  
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@UofLSheriff50. Louisville native, University of Louisville Business School Grad c/o 2004. Co-Founder of TheCrunchZone.com

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