Louisville hosts the final home game of the 2017-18 season tonight at 9:00 vs. the Mississippi State Bulldogs in the NIT Quarterfinals at the KFC Yum! Center.
The Bulldogs are a slightly better offensive team but not much of a threat from 3-point range or at the foul line. MSU also turns the ball over at a high rate. And whatever small advantage Miss State has offensively they give back with UofL’s slight advantage defensively.
The Bulldogs advanced to the Quarterfinals with a 1 point win in Waco over Baylor and a 1st round win over Nebraska. Mississippi State was eliminated in the SEC Tournament with a 3 point loss to Tennessee, but MSU has really quality wins: Texas A&M, Alabama, Missouri, Vanderbilt, Arkansas. The Bulldogs losses this year don’t have anything to be ashamed about either: Cincinnati, Ole Miss, Florida, Auburn, Missouri, Vanderbilt, Tennessee (x2) and LSU.
Here is the stat match-up.
|Strength of Schedule (Ken Pom)||33rd||65th|
|PPG||76.2 (84th)||73.0 (173rd)|
|Avg Scoring Margin||5.7 (68th)||4.9 (85th)|
|Field Goal %||45.6% (115th)||46.5% (62nd)|
|Effective FG%||52.1% (124th)||52.4% (108th)|
|2-pt FG %||50.2% (163rd)||55.5% (21st)|
|3-pt FG %||37.1% (76th)||31.5% (328th)|
|FT %||73.7% (90th)||68.5% (283rd)|
|FT Attempted Per Game||19.1 (182nd)||18.4 (225th)|
|Opp FT Attempted Per Game||18.3 (122nd)||17.7 (92nd)|
|Rebound Rate||50.1% (166th)||51.2% (99th)|
|Blocks Per Game||6.1 (3rd)||5.3 (10th)|
|Steals Per Game||7.0 (61st)||6.6 (98th)|
|Assists Per Game||13.7 (145th)||13.4 (168th)|
|Turnovers Per Game||11.9 (81st)||13.3 (210th)|
|Opp Turnovers Per Game||13.4 (123rd)||13.5 (111th)|
|Team Fouls Per Game||16.5 (57th)||17.0 (87th)|
|Opp Shooting %||41.1% (26th)||41.9% (45th)|
|Opp Effective FG%||46.8 (15th)||48.2% (46th)|
|Opp 2-pt FG %||45.2% (20th)||47.5% (71st)|
|Opp 3-Pt FG %||33.3% (76th)||32.9% (53rd)|
|Opp Blocks Per Game||3.2 (142nd)||3.1 (116th)|
|Opp Steals Per Game||6.1 (170th)||5.4 (64th)|