Louisville hosts the final home game of the 2017-18 season tonight at 9:00 vs. the Mississippi State Bulldogs in the NIT Quarterfinals at the KFC Yum! Center.
The Bulldogs are a slightly better offensive team but not much of a threat from 3-point range or at the foul line. MSU also turns the ball over at a high rate. And whatever small advantage Miss State has offensively they give back with UofL’s slight advantage defensively.
The Bulldogs advanced to the Quarterfinals with a 1 point win in Waco over Baylor and a 1st round win over Nebraska. Mississippi State was eliminated in the SEC Tournament with a 3 point loss to Tennessee, but MSU has really quality wins: Texas A&M, Alabama, Missouri, Vanderbilt, Arkansas. The Bulldogs losses this year don’t have anything to be ashamed about either: Cincinnati, Ole Miss, Florida, Auburn, Missouri, Vanderbilt, Tennessee (x2) and LSU.
Here is the stat match-up.
Louisville |
Mississippi State
|
|
Strength of Schedule (Ken Pom) | 33rd | 65th |
PPG | 76.2 (84th) | 73.0 (173rd) |
Avg Scoring Margin | 5.7 (68th) | 4.9 (85th) |
Field Goal % | 45.6% (115th) | 46.5% (62nd) |
Effective FG% | 52.1% (124th) | 52.4% (108th) |
2-pt FG % | 50.2% (163rd) | 55.5% (21st) |
3-pt FG % | 37.1% (76th) | 31.5% (328th) |
FT % | 73.7% (90th) | 68.5% (283rd) |
FT Attempted Per Game | 19.1 (182nd) | 18.4 (225th) |
Opp FT Attempted Per Game | 18.3 (122nd) | 17.7 (92nd) |
Rebound Rate | 50.1% (166th) | 51.2% (99th) |
Blocks Per Game | 6.1 (3rd) | 5.3 (10th) |
Steals Per Game | 7.0 (61st) | 6.6 (98th) |
Assists Per Game | 13.7 (145th) | 13.4 (168th) |
Turnovers Per Game | 11.9 (81st) | 13.3 (210th) |
Opp Turnovers Per Game | 13.4 (123rd) | 13.5 (111th) |
Team Fouls Per Game | 16.5 (57th) | 17.0 (87th) |
Opp Shooting % | 41.1% (26th) | 41.9% (45th) |
Opp Effective FG% | 46.8 (15th) | 48.2% (46th) |
Opp 2-pt FG % | 45.2% (20th) | 47.5% (71st) |
Opp 3-Pt FG % | 33.3% (76th) | 32.9% (53rd) |
Opp Blocks Per Game | 3.2 (142nd) | 3.1 (116th) |
Opp Steals Per Game | 6.1 (170th) | 5.4 (64th) |
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