Louisville hosts the final home game of the 2017-18 season tonight at 9:00 vs. the Mississippi State Bulldogs in the NIT Quarterfinals at the KFC Yum! Center.

The Bulldogs are a slightly better offensive team but not much of a threat from 3-point range or at the foul line. MSU also turns the ball over at a high rate.  And whatever small advantage Miss State has offensively they give back with UofL’s slight advantage defensively.

The Bulldogs advanced to the Quarterfinals with a 1 point win in Waco over Baylor and a 1st round win over Nebraska.  Mississippi State was eliminated in the SEC Tournament with a 3 point loss to Tennessee, but MSU has really quality wins:  Texas A&M, Alabama, Missouri, Vanderbilt, Arkansas.  The Bulldogs losses this year don’t have anything to be ashamed about either: Cincinnati, Ole Miss, Florida, Auburn, Missouri, Vanderbilt, Tennessee (x2) and LSU.

Here is the stat match-up.

Mississippi State
Strength of Schedule (Ken Pom) 33rd 65th
PPG 76.2 (84th) 73.0 (173rd)
Avg Scoring Margin 5.7 (68th) 4.9 (85th)
Field Goal % 45.6% (115th) 46.5% (62nd)
Effective FG% 52.1% (124th) 52.4% (108th)
2-pt FG % 50.2% (163rd) 55.5% (21st)
3-pt FG % 37.1% (76th) 31.5% (328th)
FT % 73.7% (90th) 68.5% (283rd)
FT Attempted Per Game 19.1 (182nd) 18.4 (225th)
Opp FT Attempted Per Game 18.3 (122nd) 17.7 (92nd)
Rebound Rate 50.1% (166th) 51.2% (99th)
Blocks Per Game 6.1 (3rd) 5.3 (10th)
Steals Per Game 7.0 (61st) 6.6 (98th)
Assists Per Game 13.7 (145th) 13.4 (168th)
Turnovers Per Game 11.9 (81st) 13.3 (210th)
Opp Turnovers Per Game 13.4 (123rd) 13.5 (111th)
Team Fouls Per Game 16.5 (57th) 17.0 (87th)
Opp Shooting % 41.1% (26th) 41.9% (45th)
Opp Effective FG% 46.8 (15th) 48.2% (46th)
Opp 2-pt FG % 45.2% (20th) 47.5% (71st)
Opp 3-Pt FG % 33.3% (76th) 32.9% (53rd)
Opp Blocks Per Game 3.2 (142nd) 3.1 (116th)
Opp Steals Per Game 6.1 (170th) 5.4 (64th)
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@UofLSheriff50. Louisville native, University of Louisville Business School Grad c/o 2004. Co-Founder of TheCrunchZone.com

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